# Arindam Chakraborty, Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (CAOS), Indian Institute of Science (IISc)

**Source**: https://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/arch_pubs_forecast.html
**Parent**: https://caos.iisc.ac.in/arch/

##### **Prof. Arindam Chakraborty**, Indian Institute of Science

**[Home Page](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/)**

##### Publications: Forecast/Prediction Skill

- Rajendran, K., Surendran, S., Varghese, S.J. and Arindam Chakraborty, 2021: [Do seasonal forecasts of Indian summer monsoon rainfall show better skill with February initial conditions?](https://www.currentscience.ac.in/Volumes/120/12/1863.pdf), *Current Science*, 120 (12) 1863-1874
- Singhai, P., Shibin Balakrishnan, E. N. Rajagopal, Arindam Chakraborty, 2020: [Phase inconsistency as a major source of error in NGFS forecast](https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-020-05148-y), *Climate Dynamics*, [doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05148-y](https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05148-y)
- Chakraborty, A., 2010: [The Skill of ECMWF Medium Range Forecasts During the Year of Tropical Convection 2008](https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/2010MWR3217.1), Monthly Weather Review, 138, 3787-3805. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_mwr10.pdf)]
- Krishnamurti, T. N., Arindam Chakraborty, and A. K. Mishra, 2010: [Improving multimodel forecasts of the vertical distribution of heating using the TRMM profiles](https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/2009JCLI2878.1), J. Climate, 23, 1089-1094. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_jc10.pdf)]
- Krishnamurti, T. N., R. Krishnamurti, A. D. Sagadevan, Arindam Chakraborty, W. K. Dewar, C. A. Clayson, and J. F. Tull, 2009: [Space-time stuctures of earthquakes](https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00703-009-0034-7), Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 105, 69-83. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_map09.pdf)]
- Chakraborty, A., and T. N. Krishnamurti, 2009: [Improving global model precipitation forecasts over India from downscaling and FSU superensemble. Part II: Seasonal climate](https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/2009MWR2736.1), Monthly Weather Review, 137, 2736-2757. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_mwr09b.pdf)]
- Krishnamurti, T. N., A. K. Mishra, Arindam Chakraborty, and M. Rajeevan, 2009: [Improving Global Model Precipitation Forecasts over India Using Downscaling and the FSU Superensemble. Part I: 1–5-Day Forecasts](https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/2009MWR2568.1), Monthly Weather Review, 137, 2713-2735. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_mwr09a.pdf)]
- Krishnamurti, T. N., A. D. Sagadevan, Arindam Chakraborty, A. K. Mishra, A. Simon, and S-H Chen, 2009: [Improving Multimodel Forecast of Monsoon Weather over China using FSU Superensemble](https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00376-009-8162-z), Advances in Atmospheric Sciencese, 26, 813-839. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_jgr09.pdf)]
- Chakraborty, A., and T. N. Krishnamurti, 2008: [Improved forecasts of diurnal cycle in tropics using multiple global models. Part II: Asian Summer Monsoon,](https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/2008JCLI2107.1) Journal of Climate, 21, 4045–4067. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_jc08b.pdf)]
- Krishnamurti, T. N., C. Gnanaseelan, A. K. Mishra and Arindam Chakraborty, 2008: [Improved Forecasts of Diurnal Cycle in Tropics Using Multiple Global Models. Part I: Precipitation](https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/2007JCLI2106.1), Journal of Climate, 21, 4029–4043. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_jc08a.pdf)] [[Bibtex Citation](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/ref_jc08a.bib)]
- Chakraborty, A., T. N. Krishnamurti and C. Gnanaseelan, 2007: [Prediction of the Diurnal Cycle using a Multimodel Superensemble. Part II: Clouds](https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2007MWR2080.1), Monthly Weather Review, 135, 4097-4116. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_mwr07b.pdf)] [[Bibtex Citation](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/ref_mwr07b.bib)]
- Krishnamurti, T. N., C. Gnanaseelan, and Arindam Chakraborty, 2007: [Prediction of the Diurnal Cycle using a Multimodel Superensemble. Part I: Precipitation](https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/full/10.1175/MWR3446.1), Monthly Weather Review, 135, 3613-3632. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_mwr07a.pdf)] [[Bibtex Citation](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/ref_mwr07a.bib)]
- Ross, R. S., Arindam Chakraborty, Anthony Chen, L. Stefanova, S. Sirdas and T. N. Krishnamurti, 2007: [Improved Seasonal Climate Forecasts for the Caribbean Region using a Multi-Model Superensemble](https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00703-006-0234-3), Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, doi: 10.1007/s00703-006-0234-3. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_map07.pdf)] [[Bibtex Citation](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/ref_map07.bib)]
- Sirdas, S., Robert S. Ross, T. N. Krishnamurti and Arindam Chakraborty, 2007: [Evaluation of the FSU Synthetic Superensemble Performance for Seasonal Forecasts over the Euro-Mediterranean Region](https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00209.x), Tellus-A, 59, 50-70. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_tel07.pdf)] [[Bibtex Citation](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/ref_tel07.bib)]
- Krishnamurti, T. N., Arindam Chakraborty, R. Krishnamurti, W. K. Dewar, C. A. Clayson, 2006: [Seasonal Prediction of Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Using a Suite of 13 Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Models](https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI3938.1), Journal of Climate, 19, 6069-6088 [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_jc06.pdf)] [[Bibtex Citation](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/ref_jc06.bib)]
- Chakraborty, A., T. N. Krishnamurti, 2006: [Improved Seasonal Climate Forecasts of the South Asian Summer Monsoon Using a Suite of 13 Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Models](https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR3144.1), Monthly Weather Review, 134, 1697-1721. [[PDF](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/full_mwr06.pdf)] [[Bibtex Citation](http://caos.iisc.ac.in/faculty/arch/paper/ref_mwr06.bib)]